Nico Hoerner is a key piece to the Cubs new Core

(Photo by Nuccio DiNuzzo/Getty Images)

Nico Hoerner is a key piece to the Cubs new Core

Ethan Mann

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Nico Hoerner has broken out this season in his first full season taking on the starting shortstop mantle. The average slash line for shortstops this year is .247/.303/.376 with a .299 wOBA, and a 92 wRC+. The 2018 first-rounder has transcended the positional averages with a .293/.341/.413 with a .329 wOBA, and a 111 wRC+, both seventh among qualified shortstops. Since entering the league, the shortstop had a 3.9-degree Launch Angle in his rookie year, and a .8-degree Launch Angle the following year, thus, making him prone to hitting more ground balls. His GB% reached as high as 55.3% after the 60-game COVID-shortened season. After making the proper adjustments, his Launch Angle gradually increased reaching 10.6 degrees, thus dwindling his GB% by nearly 9.5 points to 46%.

By comparing the shortstop’s GB% with his wRC+ in the 20-game rolling average graph above, you can see the correlation that a low GB% can lead to a high wRC+ for Hoerner.

Adjustments

A noticeable adjustment in his stance from the 2020 season to now is how open he is. Back in 2020, as shown on the left, he has more of an even stance. By looking at the picture on the right, you can see how he has shifted his stance to a more open position. Some effects of his revision are that he cut his K% from 19% to 11.1%, lowering his CSW% from 27.5% to 24%, and enhancing his contact% from 82.9% to 86.6%.

Fielding

Since the Cubs previous shortstop, Javier Baez, was traded to the Mets, Hoerner has started all of his games at shortstop. Since finding a permanent home at the shortstop position, he has cemented himself as one of the premier defensive shortstops in the game. In his first full year starting at the position, he compiled 12 DRS, which is 3rd among all shortstops only behind Jeremy Peña (14), and Andrew Velasquez (13). His UZR/150 is just outside the top 10 among qualified shortstops, yet ahead of other adequate defenders such as J.P Crawford, Dansby Swanson, and the man he is replacing, Javier Baez.

Amongst all of the advanced defensive statistics, the most impressive factor is that he stands near the top in terms of OAA among shortstops with 13, only trailing Dansby Swanson (15), proving his excellence on the defensive side of the diamond. Hoerner is arguably the best defensive shortstop in the sport putting him in the running for a Gold Glove.

Conclusion

Based on this season’s play, Hoerner has consolidated his case of being the franchise shortstop. The former Stanford stand-out has impressed and passed many of the tests thrown his way, showcasing a 3.7 fWAR/4.2 bWAR. Many shortstops are hitting the free agency market this upcoming Winter including Trea Turner, who might land the largest contract amongst all of the available shortstops, and Dansby Swanson who is having a career year in Atlanta. If shortstops Carlos Correa and Xander Bogaerts don’t opt out of their contracts at the end of the season, most would be flabbergasted. The Cubs, I would imagine, would like to expedite the rebuild by signing one of the top shortstops from the free agency class. Next year, Hoerner might have to shift over to second base if the Cubs decide to shell out a large contract to a shortstop like Carlos Correa. In the meantime, the Cubs now have a 25-year-old middle infielder who has solidified himself as a franchise cornerstone.

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